Analysis on Investing Strategy in Real Estate Industry
of China Medium-Sized Cities
Catalogue
Chapter One Definition 6
Chapter Two Current Development 8
Section one Regional distribution 8
Section two Economic development 9
Chapter Three Developing Features and Trend 14
1、 Growth in number and developing speed 14
2、 Stable improvement in urbanizationbut still underdeveloped 14
3、 City areas will be developing forcuses 15
4、 New investing direction 15
Chapter Four Current Exploitation 16
Section one Overall operational features 16
Section two Analysis on development 18
Chapter Five Competition structure 26
Section one The shock of big real estate enterprises has not been seen 26
Section two supply and demand relationship 27
Three Competition trend 27
Chapter Six Price and Trend 29
Section one Price level 29
Section two Price change 32
Section three Price in different regions 34
Section four Trend 36
Chapter Seven Analysis on Land Market 37
Section one Price and trend 37
Section two Land cost 54
Chapter Eight Developing trend 55
Section one Overall developing trend 55
1、 The executive force will be strengthened in 2007 55
2、 Investment will be slowed down between 2007 and 2008 55
3、 Supply in living buildings will be further adjusted, and common and economic living buildings will be increased 55
4、 Land management and control will be more strict; cost increased, which enhanced the storage land competition 55
5、 The cut down policy will not be changed in short term 55
6、 It is being close between supply and demand, and price will be key factor. 55
Section two Developing trend analysis 56
1、 Trend and opportunities 56
2、 Growth aspects 56
3、 Brand advantageous enterprises will be major part 56
4、 Small-size houses will be mainstreamin 2007 56
5、 Foreign capital enhanced competition 56
Chapter Nine Developing Risks 58
1、 Economy 58
2、 Market 58
3、 Competition 59
4、 Capital 59
5、 Policy 60
6、 Culture 60
Chapter Ten Cases 61
Section Langfang 61
1、Development in economic society 61
2、 Exploitation of real estate enterprises 62
Section two Bengbu 67
1、 Development in economic society 67
2、Exploitation of real estate enterprises68
Section three Changzhou 74
1、 Development in economic society 74
2、Exploitation of real estate enterprises75
Section four Xuzhou 77
1、Development in economic society 77
2、Exploitation of real estate enterprises 79
Catalogue of Tables
Table 1 Scope of medium-sized cities 7
Table 2 Regional distribution-one 8
Table 3 Regional distribution-two 8
Table 4 Distribution of regional production value 9
Table 5 Regional total production value 9
Table 6 Top 30 cities 10
Table 7 Distribution of GDP growth rate 10
Table 8 Population distribution 11
Table 9 Average per disposable income of people in cities and towns 11
Table 10 Average per disposable income of top 32 medium-sized cities who own 500thousand population or above 12
Table 11 Income and consumption 12
Table 12 Average per living area 13
Table 13Proportion of number scale structure of cities in China in 2001 14
Table 14 Change of urbanization level in China 14
Table 15 Growth rate of investment from 2005 to 2006 18
Table 16 Investment return rate 18
Table 17 Investment and growth rate in Beijing from 1999 to 2006 19
Table 18 Investment and growth rate in Shanghai from 1999 to 2006 19
Table 19 Investment and growth rate in Shenzhen from 1999 to 2006 20
Table 20 Investment and growth rate in Guangzhou from 1999 to 2006 20
Table 21 Investment and growth rate in Xingtai from 1999 to 2006 21
Table 22 Investment and growth rate in Weihai from 1999 to 2006 21
Table 23 Investment and growth rate in Changzhou from 1999 to 2006 22
Table 24 Investment and growth rate in Beijing from 1999 to 2006 22
Table 25Investment and growth rate in Zhuhai from 1999 to 2006 23
Table 26 Investment and growth rate in Beijing from 1999 to 2006 23
Table 27 Investment and growth rate in Jingdezhen from 1999 to 2006 24
Table 28 Investment and growth rate in Daqing from 1999 to 2006 24
Table 29 Investment and growth rate in Panzhihua from 1999 to 2006 25
Table 30 Investment and growth rate in Zhuzhou from 1999 to 2006 25
Table 31 Average price distribution from 1999 to2006 29
Table 32 Average price distribution 29
Table 33 Dealing average price list 30
Table 34 Price growth of commerce houses in big cities from Jan. to Nov. of 2006 32
Table 35 Price growth of commerce houses in medium cities from Jan. to Nov. of 2006 32
Table 36 Monthly price index in big cities 33
Table 37Monthly price index in provincial cities 33
Table 38 Monthly price index in medium cities 33
Table 39Price change in Changjing Delta, Zhujiang Delta and Bohai area 34
Table 40Price change in Northeast and Fujian, Zhejiang and Jiangxi provinces 34
Table 41Price change in Central area in 2006 35
Table 42 Price change in West cities in 2006 35
Table 43 Statistics on average price and growth rate in nationwide commerce houses from 2000 to 2005 37
Table 44 Statistics on average price and growth rate in nationwide living houses from 2000 to 2005 37
Table 45 Comparison in nationwide average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 38
Table 46Average land price in key regions in 2006 38
Table 47 Comparison in Southeast average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 38
Table 48 Comparison in South-Central average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 39
Table 49 Comparison in Southwest average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 39
Table 50 Comparison in Northwest average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 39
Table 51 Comparison in North average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 40
Table 52 Comparison in Northeast average land price between the first and the second seasons in 2006 40
Table 53 Average land price for commerce in Dalian 41
Table 54 Average land price for Living in Dalian 41
Table 55 Average land price for commerce in Nanjing 42
Table 56 Average land price for Living in Nanjing 42
Table 57 Average land price for commerce in Wuhan43
Table 58 Average land price for Living in Wuhan 43
Table 59 Average land price for commerce in Xuzhou 44
Table 60 Average land price for Living in Xuzhou 44
Table 61 Average land price for commerce in Yantai 45
Table 62 Average land price for Living in Yantai 45
Table 63 Average land price for commerce in Suzhou 46
Table 64 Average land price for Living in Suzhou 46
Table 65 Average land price for commerce in Jiaxing 47
Table 66 Average land price for Living in Jiaxing 47
Table 67 Average land price for commerce in Zhuahai 48
Table 68 Average land price for Living in Zhuahai 48
Table 69 Average land price for commerce in Jinzhou 49
Table 70 Average land price for Living in Jinzhou 49
Table 71 Average land price for commerce in Huhehaote 50
Table 72 Average land price for Living in Huhehaote 50
Table 73 Average land price for commerce in Nanning 51
Table 74 Average land price for Living in Nanning 51
Table 75 Average land price for commerce in Xining 52
Table 76 Average land price for Living in Xining 52
Table 77 Average land price for commerce in Ezhou 53
Table 78 Average land price for Living in Ezhou 53
Table 79 Examples of land exploitation cost in big cities 54
Table 80 Examples of land exploitation cost in medium cities 54
Table 81Production value in Langfang from 2001 to 2005 Unit 100mRMB 61
Table 82 Citizen`s income in Langfang from 2001 to 2005 Unit 100mRMB 62
Table 83 Basic survey list 62
Table 84 Basic survey list 63
Table 85Main enterprises 64
Table 86Some brief introductions of Langfang in 2006 65
Table 87 Main economic indexes of Bengbu in 2005 67
Table 88 Land price list Unit RMB/per m2 68
Table 89Scope of land using level-one 69
Table 90Scope of land using level-two 69
Table 91Scope of land using level-three 70
Table 92Scope of land using level-four 70
Table 93 Dealing price trend of commercial houses from 2002 to 2006 71
Table 94 Main enterprises list 71
Table 95Building sale list in Bengshan District 71
Table 96 Building sale list in Longzihu District 72
Table 97 Structure of demand 73
Table 98Structure of puchase affecting factors 73
Table 99Changzhou 74
Table 100 Partial sale building in 2006 76
Table 101 Selling area in the third and fourth seasons of 2005 9
Table 102 Comparison list in commercial houses selling area in the fourth season of 2004 and 2005 79
Table 103 Commercial houses dealing in the third and fourth seasons of 2005 80
Table 104 Comparison of dealing sum 80
Table 105Comparison of dealing area 81
Table 106 Comparison of buyers 81
Table 107 Dealings 82
Table 108 Key real estate enterprises 82
Table 109 Hot selling houses 83
Table 110Overall plan 85
Chapter One Definition of Medium Cities in China
1、World standard the population is between 500 thousand and 1million。
World Bank`s classification criteria for city is suitable to China's actual situation : 10 million more than the population of the largest cities ,500-1000 population of the city, 100-500 million people in larger cities ,50-100 million people in medium-size cities, 500,000 people Following is a small city.
2、Past standards Population was between 200 and 500 thousand。
China, in accordance with the urban non-agricultural population of the town is divided into four, etc. : population of less than 200,000 for the small cities, 200,000-500,000 population of medium-sized cities, with populations over 500,000 for the city, again with a population of 1 million over the city as a very large city. China's existing urban scale is classified caliber of the planned economy under the conditions severely limited understanding of the results. It now appears that the criteria for the classification of this is really low, has lagged far behind the development of the times。
3、Classified by below conditions
1 Besides BeijingShanghaiTianjing and Chongqing
2 Besides developed cities in economy
3 Besides provincial capitals
4 Besides the cities with non-farmer population less than 250thousandand Dongguan Tangshan Wuxi and Ningbo are not on the listFuzhouNanning and Xining are involved。 Finally there are 173 cities。
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